AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I now predict 5 to 20 years [until digital intelligence overtakes us] but without much confidence. We live in very uncertain times. It's possible that I am totally wrong about digital intelligence overtaking us. Nobody really knows which is why we should worry now.”

Turing Award and Nobel laureate; 'Godfather of AI'; professor emeritus, University of Toronto (former Google VP)

Said May 3, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2043X post by @geoffreyhinton, May 3, 2023

Posted days after Hinton left Google; it marked a sharp shortening of his previous 30–50 year estimate for machines becoming smarter than humans.