AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Safety & RiskIncorrect
“2024 will be the last human election — from here on, humans will be figureheads and whoever has the greatest compute and the best AI will win.”

Co-founders, Center for Humane Technology; presenters of 'The AI Dilemma'

The 2024 US election was contested and decided by human candidates and campaigns; subsequent research found AI-generated content played a marginal role and that compute advantage did not determine outcomes, and conventional human elections have continued since.