AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Although AI will be used in elections [in 2024], it will not be 'at the scale yet that everyone imagines.' Rather, it will be the narrative of what havoc AI could have that will have the bigger impact.”

Former public policy director for global elections at Facebook; founder of Anchor Change

AI was used throughout the 2024 cycle but nowhere near the imagined scale: Kapoor and Narayanan catalogued only 78 election deepfakes worldwide, the News Literacy Project found non-AI 'cheap fakes' about seven times more common, and analysts concluded the anticipated AI election apocalypse never arrived — while the narrative about deepfakes drew far more attention than the deepfakes themselves, as she forecast.