AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I generally agree with the first and third predictions — that it's very likely, given current trajectories, that AI will be more intelligent than us in 10 years and therefore will be in control... If we continue with the present accelerating pace of the AI race, yes, this will be the result. In 10 years, the AIs will take over. But this is not inevitable. We are still in control in 2026.”

Historian and author of Sapiens, Homo Deus and Nexus; lecturer, Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Said in response to Elon Musk's prediction that AI would far surpass human intelligence and humans would not be in control within ten years; Harari endorses the trajectory while rejecting its inevitability.