AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“AI lab revenue is "the single most important data point in the market today": the leading labs — OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI — must lift their combined annualized revenue from roughly $100 billion to at least $180 billion by year-end to keep the AI trade intact.”

Founder, Chairman and CEO of Altimeter Capital; co-host of the BG2 podcast

Gerstner based the ~$100 billion combined run-rate estimate on figures circulating in July 2026; resolution depends on the labs' reported annualized revenue at the end of 2026.