AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“A financial crisis caused by artificial intelligence is 'nearly unavoidable' within a decade without further regulation — it's a hard financial stability issue because many institutions might be relying on the same underlying base model or data aggregator.”

Chair, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

Deadline is roughly 2033; Gensler left the SEC in January 2025, and as of early 2026 no financial crisis has been attributed to shared AI models or data aggregators.