AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“By 2030, cost pressure and a lack of a differentiating business model will force over 80% of neocloud providers to cease independent operations.”

technology research and advisory firm; forecast presented by Will Sommer, Senior Director Analyst

Said Oct 14, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2030Gartner press release, October 14, 2026

Gartner argues hyperscalers are cushioned by diversified revenue while GPU-as-a-service neoclouds are not; resolvable by counting independent neocloud providers still operating at the end of 2030.