AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“In 2020, artificial intelligence will become a positive net job motivator, creating 2.3 million jobs while eliminating 1.8 million jobs.”

IT research and advisory firm, press release on AI and employment

Said Dec 13, 2017Deadline Dec 31, 2020Gartner press release, 13 December 2017

The deadline has passed but the claim is not resolvable against any accepted measurement: no statistical agency tracks jobs 'created' or 'eliminated' by AI, and 2020 labour-market outcomes were dominated by the COVID-19 shock. Gartner has published no retrospective verification of the 2.3m/1.8m figures.