“Aggregate cash capital expenditure across the largest hyperscalers (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Oracle) is on track to overtake their operating cash flow around Q3 2026 — capex is growing roughly 70% per year against about 23% annual growth in operating cash flow, pushing most hyperscalers toward external financing.”
Said Jun 16, 2026Deadline Sep 30, 2026Epoch AI Data Insights, 'Hyperscaler Capex to Exceed Cash Flow by Q3 2026', June 16, 2026
Q3 2026 results are not reported until late October 2026, so the crossover cannot yet be confirmed; corroborating evidence is mounting (FactSet reported in July 2026 that hyperscaler free cash flow was under mounting pressure, with incremental annual debt rising from 9% of capex in FY24 to 32% by mid-2026).