“I think we're near guaranteed at this point to have effectively models that are capable of automating any white collar job by 2027, 2028 — or near guaranteed end of decade.”
Said May 22, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2028Dwarkesh Podcast — 'How Does Claude 4 Think?' with Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken, May 22, 2025
Douglas caveated that white-collar tasks are unusually susceptible to current algorithms because they can be retried on computers and have abundant internet data, unlike robotics or biology.