“A task I think is less likely (about 20%) by Dec 31 2026: from a one-paragraph high-level prompt, make an original text adventure game that offers at least ten hours of gameplay that I consider to be as good as Counterfeit Monkey, or an original visual novel that I consider to be decidedly better than Long Live the Queen.”
Said Jan 14, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026Planned Obsolescence, 'AI predictions for 2026', January 14, 2026
In her August 2026 review, Cotra's AI assistants agreed this was 'pretty clearly not met yet.'