“ECI [Epoch Capabilities Index]: 169 by the end of 2026. The current top score is 154, achieved by Gemini 3 Pro, and it has recently been growing at 15.5 points per year; an ECI of 169 corresponds to a score of about 85% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3.”
Said Jan 14, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026Planned Obsolescence, 'AI predictions for 2026', 14 January 2026
Resolves against Epoch AI's published ECI leaderboard at end-2026.