AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I think that probably in the early 2030s we are going to see what Ryan Greenblatt calls top-human-expert-dominating AI, which is an AI system that can do tasks that you can do remotely from a computer better than any human expert.”

Member of technical staff, METR; former senior advisor, Open Philanthropy

Target treated as the end of the 'early 2030s' window (2033).