Jobs & EconomyIncorrect
“Registered forecast for the combined annualized December revenue of OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI at the end of 2025: about $17 billion — merely tripling from ~$4.5 billion.”
Said Dec 14, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2025Sage/AI Digest 'AI 2025' forecasting survey, registered December 2024; scored in Planned Obsolescence, 'AI predictions for 2026', January 14, 2026
Combined annualized December revenue for OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI reached ~$30.5 billion in December 2025 — nearly 7x rather than 3x. Cotra wrote that she 'completely bombed the annualized revenue question.'