“On when AI will be capable of building a Dyson sphere — which I understand to mean about a billion times more energy than all the sunlight incident on Earth: 'like 40% chance by 2040.'”
Said Oct 31, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2040Dwarkesh Podcast, 'Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI Takeover', October 31, 2023
Target date is still in the future; Christiano noted these were 'cash numbers from six months ago or nine months ago' that he hadn't revisited.