AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“By 2048 (25 years from now), consumers in the US will not have the option to purchase a fully self-driving car lacking a steering wheel, yet possessing the equivalent transportation capabilities of a standard 2023 sedan.”

Co-founder of Siri and Viv Labs; co-founder and CEO of GamePlanner.ai

Cheyer argues infrastructure lag, unresolved ethical questions and consumer trust will keep a steering-wheel-free consumer car off the US market; the prediction is open to challenge on Long Bets.