AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years. AI policy decisions made in the next few months will shape how that AI is governed.”

Independent AI policy researcher; former Senior Advisor for AGI Readiness at OpenAI

Written the day OpenAI announced o3; Brundage argued superhuman coding and math were arriving far sooner than expected. 'Next few years' from December 2024 is operationalized here as end of 2028.