“The duration of tasks AI models can solve doubles every seven months; in five years, AI will be at human level for programming tasks.”
Professor, Université de Montréal; Founder and Scientific Director, Mila; Turing Award laureate
Said Apr 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2030World Summit AI Americas, Montréal, April 2025 (reported by BetaKit, April 17, 2025)
Deadline 2030; Bengio repeated the same reasoning in his December 2025 Digitalist Papers essay, putting AI planning ability at approximately human level around 2030 if the METR trend persists.