AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“With the help of AI, scientists will likely 'understand most diseases' in the next three to five years — 'a first for humans on the planet.' If you understand the disease, you will find a way to go fix it.”
Said Apr 18, 2024Deadline Apr 18, 2029Semafor World Economy Summit, April 18, 2024

Deadline is the outer end of Bancel's three-to-five-year window (April 2029); resolution will turn on whether AI-driven biology delivers fundamental mechanistic understanding of 'most diseases' by then.