AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“As the race to AGI intensifies, the national security state will get involved. The USG will wake from its slumber, and by 27/28 we'll get some form of government AGI project. No startup can handle superintelligence.”

Former OpenAI Superalignment researcher; author of 'Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead'

Deadline is end of 2028; the essay says 'by late 26/27/28 it will be underway.'