AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“AGI by 2027 is strikingly plausible. That doesn't require believing in sci-fi; it just requires believing in straight lines on a graph.”

Former OpenAI Superalignment researcher; founder of the AGI-focused investment firm Situational Awareness LP

Deadline is end of 2027. The essay's own operationalization is an AI that functions as a 'drop-in remote worker'; no such system exists as of late 2026.