AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Catalyzed by breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, the global equity market value associated with disruptive innovation could increase from 16% of the total to more than 60% by 2030. As a result, the annualized equity return associated with disruptive innovation could exceed 40% during the next seven years, increasing its market capitalization from ~$19 trillion today to roughly $220 trillion by 2030.”

Asset manager; Big Ideas 2024 annual research report

Said Jan 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2030ARK Invest, Big Ideas 2024

Resolves in 2030 on the market capitalization of disruptive-innovation equities versus the ~$220 trillion / >60%-of-global-market-cap projection.