AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“According to ARK's research, autonomous delivery revenues could scale from essentially nil today to $900 billion in 2030.”

Disruptive-innovation asset manager; Big Ideas 2024 annual research report

ARK breaks the 2030 figure into roughly $440 billion of robot/drone last-mile delivery fees plus autonomous trucking; autonomous delivery revenue today is still negligible. Tracks alongside, but is distinct from, ARK's 2023 $1–2 trillion autonomous-logistics estimate.