“ARK has grown increasingly confident that Tesla will launch a robotaxi service soon. Our updated Monte Carlo model includes a range of launch dates, with late 2024 as the weighted average of all cases.”

ARK Invest Investor

Asset manager; open-source Tesla valuation model, 'ARK's Expected Value For Tesla In 2027: $2,000 Per Share'

Said Apr 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2024ARK Invest valuation model report, 'ARK's Expected Value For Tesla In 2027: $2,000 Per Share,' April 2023

Tesla launched no robotaxi service in 2024; its first limited robotaxi pilot began in Austin in June 2025 with in-car safety monitors, missing ARK's weighted-average late-2024 launch assumption by more than half a year.