“AI should increase the productivity of knowledge workers more than 4-fold by 2030. At 100% adoption, AI could increase global labor productivity ~$200 trillion, dwarfing the ~$32 trillion in total knowledge worker salaries.”
Said Jan 31, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2030ARK Invest, Big Ideas 2023 annual research report (January 31, 2023)
Resolves at the end of 2030; measured productivity gains to date are far below a 4x trajectory.