“Based on a 70% annualized drop in training costs and feedback loops, AI coding assistants like Copilot could increase the output of software engineers ~10-fold by 2030.”
Said Jan 31, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2030ARK Invest, Big Ideas 2023 annual research report, Artificial Intelligence section, p.26 (January 31, 2023)
Resolves at the end of 2030; ARK's own 2023 report put the then-current coding-assistant gain at roughly 2x.