AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Disruptive innovation could command more than two-thirds of the global equity market, compounding at a 38% rate through 2030, as breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, autonomous mobility and humanoid robots turbocharge productivity.”

Investment management firm; 'Big Ideas 2025: Unlocking Exponential Growth Through Disruptive Innovation' annual research report

Target year 2030 is still in the future; this is the 2025 restatement of ARK's recurring disruptive-innovation market-share forecast (the 2024 edition put it at more than 60% by 2030 at a 40% annual rate).