“Making AI that is smarter than almost all humans at almost all things will require millions of chips, tens of billions of dollars (at least), and is most likely to happen in 2026-2027.”
Said Jan 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2027Dario Amodei, 'On DeepSeek and Export Controls', darioamodei.com, January 2025
Essay is dated January 2025 on darioamodei.com; day-level date not stated by the source, so precision set to month.