AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs — in tech, finance, law and consulting — and spike US unemployment to 10-20% in the next one to five years.”

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

Said May 28, 2025Deadline May 28, 2030Axios interview, 28 May 2025

The outer bound of the stated window is May 2030; US unemployment has so far remained far below the 10-20% range.