AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I don't know exactly when it'll come, I don't know if it'll be 2027. I think it's plausible it could be longer than that. I don't think it will be a whole bunch longer than that when AI systems are better than humans at almost everything. Better than almost all humans at almost everything. And then eventually better than all humans at everything, even robotics.”

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

Target year 2027 has not yet arrived; Amodei hedged that it could be 'plausibly longer,' so resolution should focus on whether AI systems are better than almost all humans at almost everything by end of 2027.