AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Prevention of Alzheimer's in the 5-10 years after powerful AI: 'It seems like exactly the type of problem that can be solved with better measurement tools that isolate biological effects; thus I am bullish about AI's ability to solve it. There is a good chance it can eventually be prevented with relatively simple interventions, once we actually understand what is going on' — though damage from already-existing Alzheimer's may be very difficult to reverse.”

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

Target date derived from powerful AI as early as 2026 plus the essay's 5-10 year window.