AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Reliable prevention and treatment of nearly all natural infectious disease: 'Given the enormous advances against infectious disease in the 20th century, it is not radical to imagine that we could more or less "finish the job" in a compressed 21st' — one of the concrete outcomes expected in the 5-10 years after powerful AI is developed.”

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

Target date derived from Amodei's own framing: powerful AI as early as 2026 plus the essay's 5-10 year 'compressed 21st century' window.