AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Right now, I think most of the frontier model companies are operating in roughly 1 billion scale, plus or minus a factor of three... I think next year we're going to go to a few billion, and then 2026, we may go to above 10 billion. And probably by 2027, their ambitions to build hundred billion dollar clusters. And I think all of that actually will happen.”

Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic

The intermediate steps have broadly tracked his curve so far; the $100B-cluster milestone resolves at the end of 2027.