AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Elimination of most cancer in the 5-10 years after powerful AI: 'Reductions of 95% or more in both mortality and incidence seem possible. That said, cancer is extremely varied and adaptive, and is likely the hardest of these diseases to fully destroy. It would not be surprising if an assortment of rare, difficult malignancies persists.'”

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

Target date derived from powerful AI as early as 2026 plus the essay's 5-10 year window.