“My basic prediction is that AI-enabled biology and medicine will allow us to compress the progress that human biologists would have achieved over the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years. I'll refer to this as the 'compressed 21st century': the idea that after powerful AI is developed, we will in a few years make all the progress in biology and medicine that we would have made in the whole 21st century.”

Dario AmodeiCEO

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

The 5-10 year window runs from the arrival of what Amodei calls 'powerful AI', which in the same essay he says could come as early as 2026 — hence an outer bound of roughly 2036 rather than the 2034 originally scraped.