CapabilitiesCorrect
“In terms of someone looks at the model and even if you talk to it for an hour or so, it's basically like a generally well educated human — that could be not very far away at all. I think that could happen in two or three years.”
Said Aug 8, 2023Deadline Aug 31, 2026Dwarkesh Podcast — 'Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) — $10 Billion Models, OpenAI, Scaling, & AGI in 2 years', August 8, 2023
In the February 13, 2026 follow-up interview, Dwarkesh Patel quoted the prediction back to Amodei and told him 'You were right,' while adding that he had expected such a system to also automate large parts of white-collar work. Commentators agree the spirit held — an hour-long conversation with a 2026 frontier model matches or exceeds a well-educated generalist — though models remain trivially identifiable as AI in a literal imitation test.