“My proposed operationalization of this is that on June 1, 2025... we'll give [the best image generating model] the following prompts: 1. A stained glass picture of a woman in a library with a raven on her shoulder with a key in its mouth; 2. An oil painting of a man in a factory looking at a cat wearing a top hat; 3. A digital art picture of a child riding a llama with a bell on its tail through a desert; 4. A 3D render of an astronaut in space holding a fox wearing lipstick; 5. Pixel art of a farmer in a cathedral holding a red basketball. We generate 10 images for each prompt, just like DALL-E2 does. If at least one of the ten images has the scene correct in every particular on 3/5 prompts, I win, otherwise you do.”

Alexander's premature September 2022 victory claim was retracted after Surge AI labelers judged the Imagen outputs inadequate, but when the bet came due on June 1, 2025, GPT-4o/ChatGPT image generation cleared the 3-of-5 bar; official judge Gwern agreed Alexander won and counterparty Vitor conceded.