AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Over the next 12 months in our lab we'll get the robot working, and then over the next 24 months we'll ideally be able to step in the first footprints of what a pilot would look like, an early commercial opportunity. That would probably be very low volumes, just to set expectations. And we would want the robot to demonstrate that it's actually useful and doing real work.”

Founder and CEO, Figure AI

Figure met the modest bar it set: it announced a commercial agreement with BMW in January 2024 and had Figure 02 units performing low-volume production tasks at BMW's Spartanburg plant from August 2024, well inside the 24-month window — though the scale and usefulness of that deployment were later disputed in press reports.