AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Only about 5% of tasks will be profitably performed by AI over the next ten years — a mere 5% of all jobs is ripe to be taken over, or at least heavily aided, by AI over the next decade.”

Institute Professor of Economics, MIT; 2024 Nobel laureate in economics

Ten-year horizon running to end-2034; resolvable against task-level automation measures of AI adoption in the US economy.